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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Parma

U U U T S

0–0

Full-time

Benevento

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,9

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

6 Shots 6

0 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 16. · Benevento 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Inter	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Napoli	8	6	0	2	+13	18
4	Sassuolo	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Juventus	9	4	5	0	+9	17
6	Roma	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Lazio	10	5	2	3	-1	17
8	Verona	10	4	4	2	+5	16
9	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Bologna	10	4	0	6	-2	12
11	Cagliari	10	3	3	4	-3	12
12	Sampdoria	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Udinese	9	3	1	5	-2	10
14	Spezia	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	Benevento	9	3	1	5	-9	10
16	Parma	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Fiorentina	9	2	2	5	-5	8
18	Torino	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Genoa	9	1	2	6	-10	5
20	Crotone	9	0	2	7	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Verona	6	3	2	1	+4	11
3	Roma	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Inter	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+9	9
7	Bologna	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Cagliari	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Udinese	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Parma	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Lazio	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Benevento	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Genoa	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Torino	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Spezia	5	0	2	3	-7	2
20	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Milan	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Lazio	5	4	0	1	+3	12
4	Inter	5	3	2	0	+8	11
5	Atalanta	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Spezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Juventus	5	1	4	0	+3	7
9	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Roma	5	2	1	2	-4	7
11	Benevento	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Verona	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Cagliari	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Parma	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Bologna	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Fiorentina	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-7	2
20	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.