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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Nantes

T S U U T

0–4

Full-time

Strasbourg

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

25%

17%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 9

6 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 14. · Strasbourg 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	1	3	+24	28
2	Lille	13	7	5	1	+15	26
3	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+8	24
4	Lyon	12	6	5	1	+11	23
5	Monaco	13	7	2	4	+6	23
6	Montpellier	13	7	2	4	+3	23
7	Lens	12	6	3	3	+1	21
8	Rennes	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Angers	12	6	1	5	-4	19
10	Brest	12	6	0	6	-2	18
11	Nice	11	5	2	4	+1	17
12	Metz	12	4	4	4	+1	16
13	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Nantes	12	3	4	5	-4	13
15	St Etienne	12	3	2	7	-8	11
16	Nimes	13	3	2	8	-13	11
17	Reims	12	2	3	7	-6	9
18	Lorient	12	2	2	8	-10	8
19	Strasbourg	12	2	1	9	-10	7
20	Dijon	12	1	4	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Monaco	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+12	13
5	Brest	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Montpellier	7	4	0	3	+0	12
7	Lens	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Metz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Nantes	5	2	2	1	+0	8
13	St Etienne	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Nice	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Angers	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Lorient	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Strasbourg	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Nimes	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Dijon	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Reims	5	1	0	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Angers	6	4	0	2	+0	12
4	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Nice	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Lens	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Lille	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Lyon	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Bordeaux	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Nimes	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Reims	7	1	3	3	-1	6
13	Metz	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Brest	6	2	0	4	-4	6
15	Monaco	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	St Etienne	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Lorient	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-9	4
20	Strasbourg	6	1	0	5	-4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.