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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

AZ Alkmaar

U S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Groningen

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 47%

44%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

78%

40%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

5 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 10

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

7 Yellow cards 1

2 Red cards 1

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Groningen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	0	2	+36	27
2	Vitesse	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+15	23
4	Feyenoord	9	6	3	0	+12	21
5	Twente	11	6	3	2	+11	21
6	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
8	Groningen	10	5	2	3	+0	17
9	Zwolle	11	2	6	3	-4	12
10	Waalwijk	11	3	3	5	-7	12
11	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Utrecht	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Heracles	11	2	3	6	-10	9
14	VVV Venlo	11	2	3	6	-15	9
15	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-10	8
16	For Sittard	11	1	3	7	-14	6
17	Den Haag	10	1	2	7	-18	5
18	FC Emmen	11	0	3	8	-17	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Vitesse	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Twente	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Groningen	6	3	2	1	+1	11
6	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	Zwolle	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Heracles	5	2	1	2	+3	7
12	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+0	7
13	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	5	1	2	2	-13	5
17	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	FC Emmen	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	PSV Eindhoven	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Waalwijk	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
11	Zwolle	5	0	4	1	-4	4
12	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-13	3
15	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
16	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2
17	For Sittard	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	FC Emmen	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.