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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Utrecht
U S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Den Haag
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
3,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 18%
25%
10%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,6
3,6
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 12. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 9 0 2 +36 27
2 Vitesse 11 8 1 2 +13 25
3 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +15 23
4 Feyenoord 9 6 3 0 +12 21
5 Twente 11 6 3 2 +11 21
6 Heerenveen 10 5 3 2 +5 18
7 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 0 +8 17
8 Groningen 10 5 2 3 +0 17
9 Zwolle 11 2 6 3 -4 12
10 Waalwijk 11 3 3 5 -7 12
11 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 2 5 -2 11
12 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
13 Heracles 11 2 3 6 -10 9
14 VVV Venlo 11 2 3 6 -15 9
15 Willem II 11 2 2 7 -10 8
16 For Sittard 11 1 3 7 -14 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 2 7 -18 5
18 FC Emmen 11 0 3 8 -17 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Den Haag
14′
🟨 Lassana Faye
34′
🟨 Ilay Elmkies
Half-time 0–0
Adrián Dalmau 🔁
↦ J. van Overeem
46′
46′
🔁 S. Bourard
↦ I. Elmkies
1–0 J. Hoogma
M. van der Maarel
48′
Adrian Dalmau 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 B. Ould-Chikh
↦ R. Kishna
Adrian Dalmau 🟨
66′
Adrian Dalmau 🟥
66′
Simon Gustafsson 🟨
71′
L. Guwara 🔁
↦ B. Ramselaar
78′
E. Elia 🔁
↦ M. Mahi
78′
78′
🔁 J. Arweiler
↦ Pascu
W. Janssen 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
83′
85′
M. Kramer 1–1
K. de Boer
90′
🟨 Vicente Besuijen
90′
🟨 Samy Bourard
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 M. Paes G
2 M. van der Maarel D
13 E. Bergström D
21 D. Warmerdam D
3 J. Hoogma D
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson M
23 B. Ramselaar M
19 M. Mahi F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (11)
9 Adrián Dalmau
5 L. Guwara
11 E. Elia
14 W. Janssen
25 T. St. Jago
16 T. Nijhuis
28 U. Emanuelson
26 O. Boussaid
32 E. Oelschlägel
29 M. Sylla
20 G. Troupée

Coach: R. Hake

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
15 D. Del Fabro D
43 L. Faye D
4 B. Kemper D
2 M. van Ewijk D
10 I. Elmkies M
23 Pascu M
14 K. de Boer M
29 M. Kramer F
31 R. Kishna F
20 V. Besuijen F
Bench (12)
11 S. Bourard
21 B. Ould-Chikh
9 J. Arweiler
36 J. Mulder
34 A. Ćatić
5 R. Morrison
8 J. Goossens
7 A. Rațiu
6 D. Rigo
17 N. Karelis
22 R. Zwinkels
25 J. Amofa

Coach: R. Brood

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,21
U ✓
6,53
B
12,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,44
U2,5 ✓
2,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.