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2. Bundesliga

Paderborn

U S S S T

0–2

Full-time

Nurnberg

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

44%

22%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

33%

89%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 9. · Nurnberg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Greuther Furth	10	5	3	2	+8	18
3	Bochum	10	5	2	3	+6	17
4	Hamburg	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Karlsruhe	10	5	1	4	+5	16
6	Osnabruck	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Erzgebirge Aue	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+6	14
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	2	4	-6	14
11	Hannover	10	4	1	5	+0	13
12	Regensburg	9	3	3	3	-1	12
13	Darmstadt	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Braunschweig	10	3	2	5	-11	11
15	Nurnberg	9	2	4	3	+1	10
16	Sandhausen	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	St Pauli	10	1	4	5	-6	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	1	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Heidenheim	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Hamburg	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Regensburg	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Braunschweig	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Paderborn	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Bochum	5	2	2	1	+5	8
10	Erzgebirge Aue	4	2	2	0	+4	8
11	Sandhausen	5	2	2	1	-1	8
12	Greuther Furth	5	2	1	2	+3	7
13	Osnabruck	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Karlsruhe	4	2	0	2	+2	6
15	Darmstadt	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Nurnberg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Pauli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Wurzburger Kickers	5	1	1	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+3	10
3	Osnabruck	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	Bochum	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Holstein Kiel	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Darmstadt	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Paderborn	5	1	2	2	+2	5
11	Heidenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	St Pauli	6	0	3	3	-4	3
13	Hannover	5	1	0	4	-5	3
14	Regensburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	0	1	4	-10	1
16	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-12	1
17	Sandhausen	4	0	0	4	-6	0
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.