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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Sarpsborg 08
U T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Brann
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 16. · Brann 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 Molde 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Kristiansund 5 2 3 0 +6 9
4 Mjondalen 5 2 2 1 +2 8
5 Stabaek 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Stromsgodset 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Valerenga 5 2 2 1 -1 8
8 Brann 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Haugesund 5 2 1 2 -4 7
10 Odd 5 2 0 3 +2 6
11 Rosenborg 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Viking 5 1 1 3 -4 4
13 Sandefjord 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Start 5 0 2 3 -7 2
15 Aalesund 5 0 2 3 -10 2
16 Sarpsborg 08 4 0 0 4 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
42′
G. Koomson 0–1
T. Teniste
Half-time 0–1
I. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ G. Vetti
46′
Jörgen Strand Larsen 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen
55′
🔁 B. Acosta
↦ K. Barmen
M. Ødegård 🔁
↦ B. Utvik
61′
O. Halvorsen 🔁
↦ A. Jakobsen
67′
A. Tveter 🔁
↦ J. Horn
67′
82′
🔁 E. Hustad
↦ D. Bamba
82′
🔁 G. Rólantsson
↦ G. Koomson
82′
🔁 C. Rismark
↦ V. Forren
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ M. Ofkir
84′
90′
🔁 M. Mehnert
↦ R. Taylor
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
33 D. Mitov-Nilsson G
3 J. Horn D
16 J. Thomassen M
6 N. Næss D
4 B. Utvik D
70 A. Jakobsen F
14 A. Salétros M
11 J. Lindseth M
8 M. Ofkir F
15 G. Vetti M
10 J. Larsen F
Bench (7)
26 I. Coulibaly
5 M. Ødegård
7 O. Halvorsen
28 A. Tveter
17 J. Soltvedt
31 A. Falch
2 S. Bojang

Coach: M. Stahre

Brann

4-3-3
30 A. Ahamada G
2 T. Teniste D
3 V. Forren D
21 R. Kristiansen D
25 O. Kolskogen D
16 R. Taylor F
29 K. Barmen M
10 A. Ordagić M
9 P. Strand M
7 G. Koomson F
11 D. Bamba F
Bench (7)
15 B. Acosta
14 E. Hustad
17 G. Rólantsson
4 C. Rismark
20 M. Mehnert
1 H. Opdal
5 T. Grøgaard

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.