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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Stabaek
U S T S T
4–0
Full-time
Aalesund
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 18%
30%
5%
Points per game
1,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
55%
80%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,9
4,1
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,6
2,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
26 Shots 2
13 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
14 Corners 3
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 9. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 21 18 2 1 +46 56
2 Molde 21 13 1 7 +26 40
3 Rosenborg 20 11 5 4 +19 38
4 Valerenga 20 10 5 5 +6 35
5 Odd 20 11 2 7 +5 35
6 Kristiansund 20 9 7 4 +12 34
7 Viking 20 8 5 7 +0 29
8 Sarpsborg 08 20 8 3 9 +0 27
9 Stabaek 20 6 7 7 -7 25
10 Stromsgodset 20 5 8 7 -9 23
11 Brann 21 6 5 10 -10 23
12 Sandefjord 20 7 2 11 -10 23
13 Haugesund 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Start 20 4 6 10 -15 18
15 Mjondalen 21 5 2 14 -19 17
16 Aalesund 20 1 4 15 -32 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Aalesund
25′
🟨 Niklas Castro
29′
🟨 Andreas Lie
Mats Solheim 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Ben Kantie Karamoko
1–0 E. Bohinen
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Tafjord
↦ D. Ólafsson
46′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ I. Määttä
46′
🔁 P. Bizoza
↦ M. Karlsbakk
2–0 O. Edvardsen
52′
54′
🟨 Parfait Bizoza
3–0 M. Solheim
M. Antonsson
57′
71′
🔁 I. Uzochukwu
↦ S. Sæthre
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ D. Maatsen
74′
K. Kinoshita 🔁
↦ M. Antonsson
80′
E. Jonassen 🔁
↦ M. Solheim
80′
L. Kassi 🔁
↦ K. Kostadinov
80′
4–0 G. Valsvik
E. Jonassen
80′
84′
🔁 S. Sno
↦ N. Castro
P. Vogt 🔁
↦ S. Ottesen
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-5-1
12 M. Sandberg G
5 M. Solheim D
3 Y. Amankwah D
4 G. Valsvik D
15 S. Ottesen D
22 S. Skytte M
8 E. Bohinen M
24 K. Kostadinov M
10 M. Antonsson F
9 D. Maatsen M
23 O. Edvardsen M
Bench (9)
11 K. Hansen
19 K. Kinoshita
26 E. Jonassen
6 L. Kassi
30 P. Vogt
84 J. Brauti
20 E. Botheim
67 T. Lumanza
2 J. Øveraas

Coach: J. Jönsson

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 A. Lie G
39 B. Karamoko D
15 S. Sæthre F
18 D. Ólafsson D
6 D. Klinkenberg D
21 K. Jørgensen D
8 F. Carlsen M
11 S. Nordli M
41 M. Karlsbakk F
38 I. Määttä F
9 N. Castro M
Bench (7)
27 S. Tafjord
19 P. Larsen
20 P. Bizoza
30 I. Uzochukwu
2 S. Sno
25 G. Kongshavn
4 J. Grønner

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.