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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Aalesund
S S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Brann
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
7,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
5,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
0 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Brann 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Molde 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Brann 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Kristiansund 2 1 1 0 +5 4
5 Sandefjord 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Valerenga 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Stromsgodset 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Mjondalen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Start 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Stabaek 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Rosenborg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Odd 2 0 0 2 -2 0
13 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 0 2 -2 0
14 Viking 2 0 0 2 -5 0
15 Haugesund 2 0 0 2 -6 0
16 Aalesund 2 0 0 2 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Brann
Stale Steen Saethre 🟨
10′
1–0 N. Castro
S. Nordli
29′
34′
🟨 Vegard Forren
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Barmen
↦ A. Ordagić
53′
D. Bamba 1–1
P. Strand
59′
D. Bamba 1–2
H. Fridjonsson 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
62′
I. Uzochukwu 🔁
↦ P. Larsen
62′
66′
🔁 T. Grøgaard
↦ F. Haugen
O. Lie 🔁
↦ D. Klinkenberg
69′
D. Ólafsson 🔁
↦ S. Sno
69′
72′
🔁 O. Kolskogen
↦ V. Forren
2–2 H. Fridjonsson
N. Castro
72′
73′
🔁 E. Hustad
↦ D. Bamba
Izunna Uzochukwu 🟨
75′
Niklas Castro 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 G. Rólantsson
↦ R. Taylor
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

3-4-3
1 A. Lie G
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
15 S. Sæthre M
2 S. Sno M
16 J. Hatlehol M
6 D. Klinkenberg D
19 P. Larsen M
11 S. Nordli F
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (7)
10 H. Fridjonsson
30 I. Uzochukwu
5 O. Lie
18 D. Ólafsson
41 M. Karlsbakk
25 G. Kongshavn
20 P. Bizoza

Coach: L. Bohinen

Brann

4-3-3
30 A. Ahamada G
3 V. Forren D
15 B. Acosta D
21 R. Kristiansen D
8 F. Haugen M
23 D. Pedersen M
16 R. Taylor F
10 A. Ordagić M
9 P. Strand D
7 G. Koomson F
11 D. Bamba F
Bench (7)
29 K. Barmen
5 T. Grøgaard
25 O. Kolskogen
14 E. Hustad
17 G. Rólantsson
4 C. Rismark
24 M. Pettersen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.