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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Brann
U T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Aalesund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 10 6 3 1 +9 21
2 Brann 10 6 2 2 +14 20
3 Sarpsborg 08 10 6 2 2 +10 20
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Stabaek 10 5 3 2 +5 18
6 Aalesund 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Molde 10 4 2 4 +1 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
9 Tromso 10 3 4 3 -1 13
10 Valerenga 10 4 1 5 -3 13
11 Sogndal 10 3 2 5 -2 11
12 Haugesund 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Kristiansund 10 3 2 5 -6 11
14 Stromsgodset 10 2 4 4 -5 10
15 Lillestrom 10 2 2 6 -7 8
16 Viking 10 1 2 7 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Aalesund
0–1 K. Ramsteijn
own goal
34′
Sivert Nilsen 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Andreas Lie
Half-time 0–1
Daniel Braaten 🟨
52′
74′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ A. Þrándarson
81′
E. Gyasi 0–2
F. Carlsen
P. Larsen 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
82′
Sivert Nilsen 🟨
83′
Sivert Nilsen 🟥
83′
86′
🔁 O. Lie
↦ V. Hoff
A. Karadas 🔁
↦ J. Orlov
92′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
17 G. Sørensen F
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
25 D. Braaten F
10 J. Orlov F
Bench (7)
7 P. Larsen
18 A. Karadas
1 A. Horwath
5 J. Grønner
11 S. Skålevik
19 D. Vega
22 T. Børven

Coach: L. Nilsen

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
3 D. Grétarsson D
8 F. Carlsen M
14 E. Gyasi M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 L. Veldwijk F
Bench (6)
17 S. Fet
5 O. Lie
9 V. Berisha
15 Marlinho
38 J. Hatlehol
23 P. Heigre

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.