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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Bayern Munich
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,7
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Apr -17 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 0–0 26. Nov -16 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 2–1 6. Feb -16 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 0–0 29. Aug -15 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 3–0

Match report

Bayern Munich Leverkusen
8′
🟨 Dominik Kohr
1–0 N. Süle ⚽
S. Rudy
9′
2–0 C. Tolisso ⚽
A. Vidal
19′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Dragović
↦ S. Bender
46′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ L. Bailey
52′
🟨 Charles Aránguiz
3–0 R. Lewandowski ⚽
53′
A. Robben 🔁
↦ T. Müller
61′
61′
🔁 K. Kampl
↦ C. Aránguiz
Rafinha 🔁
↦ M. Hummels
62′
Arturo Vidal 🟨
63′
65′
⚽ A. Mehmedi 3–1
J. Brandt
K. Coman 🔁
↦ F. Ribéry
77′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-3-3
26 S. Ulreich G
5 M. Hummels D
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
7 F. Ribéry M
23 A. Vidal M
19 S. Rudy M
24 C. Tolisso M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
10 A. Robben
13 Rafinha
29 K. Coman
34 M. Friedl
35 Renato Sanches
36 C. Früchtl
41 M. Pantović

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
5 S. Bender D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
39 B. Henrichs D
20 C. Aránguiz M
38 K. Bellarabi M
21 D. Kohr M
14 A. Mehmedi M
31 K. Volland F
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (7)
6 A. Dragović
10 J. Brandt
44 K. Kampl
15 J. Baumgartlinger
17 J. Pohjanpalo
22 V. Yurchenko
28 R. Özcan

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.