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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Bayern Munich
S S S S T
3–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,5
Scored
3,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jan -18 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–2 9. Sep -17 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 2–0 4. Apr -17 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–0 5. Nov -16 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 1–1 31. Jan -16 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 2–0

Match report

Bayern Munich Hoffenheim
21′
🟨 Kasim Adams
1–0 T. Müller ⚽
J. Kimmich
23′
29′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
43′
🟨 Pavel Kadeřábek
Thomas Müller 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Nico Schulz
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Zuber
↦ V. Grifo
A. Robben 🔁
↦ K. Coman
49′
57′
⚽ Á. Szalai 1–1
E. Bičakčić
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ Javi Martínez
67′
67′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ K. Nuhu
74′
🔁 H. Nordtveit
↦ K. Vogt
2–1 R. Lewandowski ⚽
82′
J. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ F. Ribéry
83′
3–1 A. Robben ⚽
T. Müller
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-1-4-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
32 J. Kimmich D
7 F. Ribéry M
8 Javi Martínez M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
29 K. Coman M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
10 A. Robben
18 L. Goretzka
11 J. Rodríguez
2 S. Wagner
5 M. Hummels
13 Rafinha
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: N. Kovač

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
22 K. Vogt D
4 E. Bičakčić D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
15 K. Nuhu D
16 N. Schulz M
13 L. Bittencourt M
11 F. Grillitsch M
32 V. Grifo M
28 Á. Szalai F
34 Joelinton F
Bench (7)
17 S. Zuber
25 K. Akpoguma
6 H. Nordtveit
2 J. Brenet
19 I. Belfodil
26 D. Otto
36 G. Kobel

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.