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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Leverkusen
U T U S T
0–0
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 56%
36%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
61%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
64%
43%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,6
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
9 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 12. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 +56 68
2 RB Leipzig 29 19 4 6 +25 61
3 Hoffenheim 29 14 12 3 +25 54
4 Dortmund 29 15 8 6 +29 53
5 Hertha 29 13 4 12 +2 43
6 Freiburg 29 12 5 12 -15 41
7 FC Koln 29 10 10 9 +6 40
8 M'gladbach 29 11 6 12 -4 39
9 Ein Frankfurt 29 10 8 11 -4 38
10 Schalke 04 28 10 7 11 +5 37
11 Werder Bremen 28 10 6 12 -4 36
12 Leverkusen 28 10 5 13 -2 35
13 Wolfsburg 29 9 6 14 -12 33
14 Hamburg 28 9 6 13 -23 33
15 Mainz 29 9 5 15 -10 32
16 Augsburg 29 8 8 13 -18 32
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 29 8 4 17 -19 28
18 Darmstadt 28 4 3 21 -37 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Bayern Munich
Charles Aránguiz 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
Tin Jedvaj 🟨
50′
Tin Jedvaj 🟨
59′
Tin Jedvaj 🟥
59′
60′
🔁 A. Robben
↦ Douglas Costa
A. Dragović 🔁
↦ C. Aránguiz
62′
K. Bellarabi 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
66′
70′
🔁 Xabi Alonso
↦ K. Coman
72′
🔁 P. Lahm
↦ Javi Martínez
L. Bailey 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-4-2
1 B. Leno G
13 R. Hilbert D
21 Ö. Toprak D
18 Wendell D
16 T. Jedvaj D
20 C. Aránguiz M
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
44 K. Kampl M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
19 J. Brandt M
Bench (7)
6 A. Dragović
38 K. Bellarabi
9 L. Bailey
39 B. Henrichs
11 S. Kießling
28 R. Özcan
14 A. Mehmedi

Coach: T. Korkut

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
13 Rafinha D
27 D. Alaba D
8 Javi Martínez M
23 A. Vidal M
11 Douglas Costa M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
18 Juan Bernat D
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
10 A. Robben
14 Xabi Alonso
21 P. Lahm
35 Renato Sanches
15 R. Obermair
39 N. Feldhahn
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.