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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Welz
Leverkusen
T U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
58%
32%
Both score Ø 49%
58%
39%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 5. · Stuttgart 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 3 3 +65 81
2 Schalke 04 32 16 9 7 +14 57
3 Dortmund 31 15 9 7 +20 54
4 Hoffenheim 32 14 10 8 +18 52
5 Leverkusen 31 14 9 8 +14 51
6 RB Leipzig 31 13 8 10 +0 47
7 Ein Frankfurt 32 13 7 12 -2 46
8 M'gladbach 32 12 8 12 -6 44
9 Hertha 32 10 13 9 +3 43
10 Stuttgart 31 12 6 13 -6 42
11 Augsburg 32 10 11 11 +0 41
12 Werder Bremen 31 9 10 12 -4 37
13 Hannover 32 9 9 14 -11 36
14 Freiburg 32 7 12 13 -24 33
15 Wolfsburg 32 5 15 12 -12 30
16 Mainz 31 7 9 15 -17 30
17 Hamburg 32 7 7 18 -22 28
18 FC Koln 32 5 7 20 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.