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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Stuttgart
S U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Hannover
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
34%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
38%
66%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 9. · Hannover 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 23 3 3 +55 72
2 Schalke 04 29 15 7 7 +12 52
3 Dortmund 29 14 9 6 +18 51
4 Leverkusen 29 13 9 7 +15 48
5 Ein Frankfurt 29 13 7 9 +7 46
6 RB Leipzig 29 13 7 9 +3 46
7 Hoffenheim 29 11 10 8 +11 43
8 M'gladbach 29 11 7 11 -5 40
9 Stuttgart 29 11 5 13 -8 38
10 Augsburg 30 9 10 11 -2 37
11 Hertha 29 8 12 9 -1 36
12 Werder Bremen 29 9 9 11 -2 36
13 Hannover 29 9 8 12 -6 35
14 Wolfsburg 30 5 15 10 -7 30
15 Freiburg 29 6 12 11 -22 30
16 Mainz 29 6 9 14 -17 27
17 Hamburg 29 5 7 17 -23 22
18 FC Koln 29 5 6 18 -28 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Hannover
41′
🟨 Felix Klaus
Half-time 0–0
O. Mangala 🔁
↦ A. Beck
46′
1–0 E. Thommy
D. Aogo
53′
64′
🟨 Julian Korb
65′
🔁 K. Karaman
↦ F. Klaus
B. Özcan 🔁
↦ E. Thommy
75′
78′
🔁 N. Sarenren-Bazee
↦ I. Fossum
85′
🔁 S. Maier
↦ J. Korb
Daniel Ginczek 🟨
88′
91′
N. Füllkrug 1–1
Miiko Albornoz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-4-2
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Aogo M
28 H. Badstuber D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
17 E. Thommy M
27 M. Gómez F
33 D. Ginczek F
Bench (7)
23 O. Mangala
31 B. Özcan
13 J. Grahl
14 A. Donis
24 D. Burnic
34 Jacob Bruun Larsen
35 M. Kamiński

Coach: T. Korkut

Hannover

4-2-2-2
1 P. Tschauner G
3 Miiko Albornoz D
4 J. Korb M
20 S. Sané D
15 T. Hübers D
27 P. Schwegler M
11 F. Klaus M
18 I. Fossum M
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
26 K. Karaman
37 N. Sarenren-Bazee
10 S. Maier
2 J. Elez
6 M. Bakalorz
22 M. Ostrzolek
23 M. Esser

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.