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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
Stuttgart
U S U T U
2–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 34%
37%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
40%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 10. · Werder Bremen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 24 3 3 +59 75
2 Schalke 04 30 16 7 7 +14 55
3 Leverkusen 30 14 9 7 +18 51
4 Dortmund 30 14 9 7 +16 51
5 RB Leipzig 30 13 8 9 +3 47
6 Hoffenheim 30 12 10 8 +13 46
7 Ein Frankfurt 30 13 7 10 +4 46
8 M'gladbach 31 12 7 12 -6 43
9 Hertha 30 9 12 9 +0 39
10 Stuttgart 30 11 6 13 -8 39
11 Augsburg 30 9 10 11 -2 37
12 Werder Bremen 30 9 10 11 -2 37
13 Hannover 30 9 9 12 -6 36
14 Wolfsburg 31 5 15 11 -10 30
15 Mainz 30 7 9 14 -15 30
16 Freiburg 30 6 12 12 -24 30
17 Hamburg 30 5 7 18 -25 22
18 FC Koln 30 5 6 19 -29 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Werder Bremen
7′
🟨 Florian Kainz
1–0 C. Gentner
E. Insúa
13′
39′
🟨 Philipp Bargfrede
Half-time 1–0
Daniel Ginczek 🟨
54′
B. Özcan 🔁
↦ D. Ginczek
58′
62′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ F. Kainz
A. Donis 🔁
↦ E. Thommy
67′
71′
🔁 A. Jóhannsson
↦ I. Belfodil
71′
🔁 Z. Junuzović
↦ J. Gondorf
M. Kamiński 🔁
↦ M. Gómez
82′
2–0 B. Özcan
A. Donis
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-4-2
16 R. Zieler G
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Aogo M
28 H. Badstuber D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
17 E. Thommy M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
33 D. Ginczek F
Bench (7)
31 B. Özcan
14 A. Donis
35 M. Kamiński
19 C. Akolo
23 O. Mangala
26 A. Meyer
34 Jacob Bruun Larsen

Coach: T. Korkut

Werder Bremen

4-1-4-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
44 P. Bargfrede M
8 J. Gondorf M
7 F. Kainz F
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
29 I. Belfodil F
Bench (7)
11 M. Rashica
9 A. Jóhannsson
16 Z. Junuzović
4 R. Bauer
15 S. Langkamp
24 J. Eggestein
33 J. Drobný

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.