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Championship
Referee: Kevin Friend
Millwall
S U T T S
2–2
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Millwall Middlesbrough
1–0 A. O'Brien
L. Gregory
12′
28′
🟨 Adam Clayton
2–0 L. Gregory
37′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🟨 Lewis Wing
56′
🔁 L. Wing
↦ G. Leadbitter
59′
🔁 M. Tavernier
↦ A. Clayton
Jed Wallace 🟨
63′
74′
🔁 A. Fletcher
↦ S. Downing
T. Elliott 🔁
↦ L. Gregory
81′
J. Skalák 🔁
↦ A. OBrien
86′
87′
M. Braithwaite 2–1
M. Tavernier
Shaun Hutchinson 🟨
90′
Mahlon Romeo 🟨
90′
M. Wallace 🔁
↦ S. Morison
90′
97′
G. Friend 2–2
L. Wing
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Millwall

4-4-2
1 J. Archer G
3 J. Meredith D
4 S. Hutchinson D
12 M. Romeo D
5 J. Cooper D
6 S. Williams M
7 J. Wallace M
23 G. Saville M
20 S. Morison F
9 L. Gregory F
22 A. O'Brien M
Bench (7)
19 T. Elliott
26 J. Skalák
25 M. Wallace
2 C. McLaughlin
10 F. Onyedinma
13 B. Amos
18 R. Tunnicliffe

Coach: N. Harris

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
3 G. Friend D
24 A. Flint D
19 S. Downing F
7 G. Leadbitter M
16 J. Howson M
8 A. Clayton M
20 D. Fry D
10 M. Braithwaite F
9 B. Assombalonga F
Bench (7)
26 L. Wing
28 M. Tavernier
18 A. Fletcher
1 D. Konstantopoulos
21 M. Johnson
25 N. Wood-Gordon
27 H. Chapman

Coach: T. Pulis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.