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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Rotherham
U U T S T
2–3
Full-time
Hull
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 15. · Hull 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 West Brom 4 2 1 1 +6 7
3 Brentford 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Aston Villa 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Bolton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Leeds 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Sheffield United 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Millwall 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Blackburn 3 1 2 0 +1 5
12 Wigan 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Preston 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Derby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Rotherham 3 1 0 2 -5 3
16 Ipswich 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Birmingham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Bristol City 3 0 2 1 -2 2
20 Norwich 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Sheffield Weds 3 0 1 2 -3 1
22 Hull 3 0 1 2 -3 1
23 Reading 3 0 0 3 -3 0
24 QPR 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Hull
1–0 R. Wood
R. Manning
16′
28′
J. Irvine 1–1
Evandro
Half-time 1–2
46′
F. Campbell 1–2
E. Lichaj
46′
🟨 Markus Henriksen
47′
J. Irvine 1–3
J. Bowen
K. Vassell 🔁
↦ J. Taylor
56′
J. Newell 🔁
↦ R. Williams
56′
67′
🔁 W. Keane
↦ F. Campbell
J. Proctor 🔁
↦ M. Palmer
73′
2–3 J. Proctor
M. Smith
75′
77′
🔁 K. Stewart
↦ D. Batty
80′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ Evandro
Richard Wood 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-5-1
1 M. Rodák G
6 R. Wood D
3 J. Mattock D
5 S. Ajayi D
2 Z. Vyner D
11 J. Taylor M
23 R. Williams M
8 M. Palmer M
4 W. Vaulks M
17 R. Manning M
24 M. Smith F
Bench (7)
19 K. Vassell
22 J. Newell
9 J. Proctor
10 David Ball
15 C. Robertson
26 S. Raggett
30 L. Bilboe

Coach: P. Warne

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 E. Lichaj D
4 J. de Wijs D
17 T. Kane M
5 R. Burke D
7 Evandro M
22 M. Henriksen M
16 J. Irvine M
18 D. Batty M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
19 W. Keane
6 K. Stewart
27 R. McKenzie
9 N. Dicko
11 M. Milinković
12 G. Long
26 A. Curry

Coach: N. Adkins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.