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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Sarpsborg 08
S U T T U
2–2
Full-time
Molde
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 11. · Molde 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 8 7 1 0 +13 22
2 Rosenborg 8 4 3 1 +7 15
3 Haugesund 8 4 2 2 +3 14
4 Ranheim 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Molde 7 4 1 2 +3 13
6 Odd 8 4 1 3 +2 13
7 Valerenga 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Tromso 8 3 2 3 +2 11
9 Kristiansund 8 2 4 2 +0 10
10 Stromsgodset 8 2 3 3 +2 9
11 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Lillestrom 8 2 1 5 -4 7
13 Stabaek 8 1 4 3 -6 7
14 Bodo/Glimt 8 1 3 4 -5 6
15 Sandefjord 8 1 2 5 -8 5
16 Start 8 1 1 6 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
1–0 M. Agger
1′
8′
E. Håland 1–1
K. Haugen
24′
🟨 Vegard Forren
2–1 M. Agger
25′
29′
M. Normann 2–2
F. Aursnes
45′
🟨 Babacar Sarr
Half-time 2–2
R. Muhammed 🔁
↦ G. Vetti
46′
66′
🔁 P. Strand
↦ E. Håland
71′
🟥 Mathias Antonsen Normann
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ H. Singh
81′
R. Schwartz 🔁
↦ M. Agger
83′
90′
🔁 M. Mostrøm
↦ K. Haugen
91′
🔁 C. Remmer
↦ E. Hestad
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
31 A. Falch G
77 A. Askar D
11 J. Jørgensen D
6 J. Tamm D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
23 H. Singh M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
15 G. Vetti M
69 P. Mortensen F
18 M. Agger F
Bench (7)
27 R. Muhammed
10 T. Heintz
29 R. Schwartz
14 M. Usman
4 B. Utvik
21 A. Kristiansen
30 N. Tkalčić

Coach: G. Bakke

Molde

4-3-3
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
6 S. Gregersen D
7 M. Normann M
33 F. Brustad F
30 E. Håland F
Bench (7)
14 P. Strand
9 M. Mostrøm
22 C. Remmer
27 D. Chima
21 T. Svendsen
26 M. Ranmark
13 I. Wadji

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.