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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Rosenborg

U S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 55%

68%

41%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

68%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

68%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 9

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Sarpsborg 08 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	22	15	4	3	+22	49
2	Brann	23	14	6	3	+14	48
3	Molde	23	12	4	7	+17	40
4	Haugesund	23	11	5	7	+7	38
5	Ranheim	23	10	5	8	-3	35
6	Odd	23	9	6	8	+6	33
7	Valerenga	23	9	6	8	-3	33
8	Sarpsborg 08	22	9	5	8	+8	32
9	Kristiansund	23	8	7	8	-2	31
10	Tromso	22	9	3	10	+2	30
11	Bodo/Glimt	23	6	9	8	-1	27
12	Stromsgodset	23	5	8	10	-1	23
13	Stabaek	23	5	8	10	-13	23
14	Start	23	6	5	12	-17	23
15	Lillestrom	22	4	7	11	-13	19
16	Sandefjord	23	2	8	13	-23	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	12	9	0	3	+20	27
2	Rosenborg	11	7	3	1	+14	24
3	Brann	11	7	3	1	+11	24
4	Odd	12	6	3	3	+11	21
5	Ranheim	11	6	3	2	+8	21
6	Sarpsborg 08	12	6	2	4	+11	20
7	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+11	20
8	Haugesund	11	6	2	3	+4	20
9	Valerenga	11	5	4	2	+4	19
10	Stabaek	11	5	4	2	+3	19
11	Kristiansund	12	5	4	3	+3	19
12	Start	12	5	2	5	-1	17
13	Bodo/Glimt	12	4	4	4	+5	16
14	Stromsgodset	12	4	3	5	+6	15
15	Lillestrom	10	2	6	2	+0	12
16	Sandefjord	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	8	1	2	+8	25
2	Brann	12	7	3	2	+3	24
3	Haugesund	12	5	3	4	+3	18
4	Valerenga	12	4	2	6	-7	14
5	Ranheim	12	4	2	6	-11	14
6	Molde	11	3	4	4	-3	13
7	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	3	4	-3	12
8	Kristiansund	11	3	3	5	-5	12
9	Odd	11	3	3	5	-5	12
10	Bodo/Glimt	11	2	5	4	-6	11
11	Tromso	11	3	1	7	-9	10
12	Stromsgodset	11	1	5	5	-7	8
13	Sandefjord	12	1	5	6	-15	8
14	Lillestrom	12	2	1	9	-13	7
15	Start	11	1	3	7	-16	6
16	Stabaek	12	0	4	8	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.