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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Sarpsborg 08
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Molde
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
45%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 3. · Molde 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 11 6 4 1 +9 22
2 Brann 11 6 3 2 +14 21
3 Sarpsborg 08 11 6 3 2 +10 21
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Aalesund 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Stabaek 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Molde 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Valerenga 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Lillestrom 12 4 2 6 -2 14
10 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
11 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -3 13
12 Tromso 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Sogndal 11 3 3 5 -2 12
14 Haugesund 11 3 3 5 -3 12
15 Kristiansund 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Viking 11 1 2 8 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
E. Fejzullahu 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
29′
40′
🟨 Etzaz Hussain
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 O. Rindarøy
↦ P. Strand
1–0 P. Mortensen
O. Halvorsen
62′
Anders Trondsen 🟨
64′
71′
🔁 E. Håland
↦ F. Brustad
72′
🟨 Erling Braut Håland
83′
🔁 L. Oestigaard
↦ S. Svendsen
T. Hovda 🔁
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
88′
90′
🟨 Stian Gregersen
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ A. Trondsen
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
10 J. Lindberg F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
44 E. Fejzullahu
18 T. Hovda
14 T. Heintz
1 S. Čupić
2 A. Albech
13 O. Hansen
20 A. Østli

Coach: G. Bakke

Molde

4-5-1
1 A. Linde G
5 J. Toivio D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
16 E. Hussain M
19 E. Hestad M
6 S. Gregersen D
14 P. Strand M
10 B. Sigurðarson F
33 F. Brustad F
11 S. Svendsen F
Bench (7)
3 O. Rindarøy
30 E. Håland
51 L. Oestigaard
24 E. Markovic
25 O. Karlsson
29 K. Strande
34 Neydson

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.