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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Start
T U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Start 15. · Sarpsborg 08 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 24 16 4 4 +23 52
2 Brann 24 14 6 4 +13 48
3 Haugesund 25 13 5 7 +9 44
4 Molde 24 13 4 7 +18 43
5 Ranheim 24 11 5 8 -2 38
6 Valerenga 25 10 7 8 -2 37
7 Odd 24 9 7 8 +6 34
8 Tromso 24 10 3 11 +2 33
9 Sarpsborg 08 24 9 5 10 +5 32
10 Kristiansund 24 8 7 9 -3 31
11 Bodo/Glimt 24 6 9 9 -2 27
12 Stromsgodset 25 6 8 11 -1 26
13 Lillestrom 24 6 7 11 -11 25
14 Stabaek 25 5 9 11 -14 24
15 Start 24 6 5 13 -18 23
16 Sandefjord 24 2 9 13 -23 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Sarpsborg 08
4′
🟨 Mikkel Agger
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Kristoffer Zachariassen
M. Bringaker 🔁
↦ A. Akinyemi
63′
71′
🔁 H. Singh
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
Afeez Aremu Olalekan 🟨
72′
80′
🔁 K. Larsen
↦ M. Agger
N. Sandberg 🔁
↦ T. Christensen
81′
88′
🟨 Aleksander Vasyutin
1–0 M. Bringaker
88′
90′
🔁 J. Larsen
↦ T. Heintz
A. Hadzic 🔁
↦ H. Shala
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Start

3-4-3
26 J. Deumeland G
2 E. Käck D
6 S. Larsen D
3 E. Berger D
31 D. Lowe D
27 E. Wichne D
24 H. Shala F
23 E. Segberg M
10 T. Christensen M
4 A. Aremu M
77 A. Akinyemi F
Bench (7)
20 M. Bringaker
21 N. Sandberg
5 A. Hadzic
8 I. Mensah
1 H. Opdal
11 A. Sigurdarson
19 K. Skaanes

Coach: K. Rekdal

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
78 A. Vasyutin G
77 A. Askar D
16 J. Thomassen D
6 J. Tamm D
4 B. Utvik D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
10 T. Heintz M
69 P. Mortensen F
18 M. Agger F
Bench (7)
23 H. Singh
19 K. Larsen
45 J. Larsen
11 J. Jørgensen
15 G. Vetti
27 R. Muhammed
31 A. Falch

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.