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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Sarpsborg 08
S S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Odd
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
57%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 7. · Odd 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 22 14 5 3 +14 47
2 Rosenborg 21 14 4 3 +21 46
3 Haugesund 22 11 5 6 +8 38
4 Molde 21 10 4 7 +15 34
5 Ranheim 21 10 4 7 -2 34
6 Valerenga 21 9 6 6 -1 33
7 Sarpsborg 08 21 9 5 7 +9 32
8 Tromso 21 9 2 10 +2 29
9 Kristiansund 21 7 7 7 -2 28
10 Odd 21 7 6 8 +4 27
11 Bodo/Glimt 21 6 8 7 +0 26
12 Stromsgodset 21 5 7 9 +0 22
13 Lillestrom 21 4 7 10 -10 19
14 Stabaek 21 4 7 10 -14 19
15 Start 21 4 5 12 -21 17
16 Sandefjord 21 2 6 13 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
Jørgen Horn 🟨
10′
14′
E. Ruud 0–1
V. Hoff
35′
🟨 Jone Samuelsen
K. Larsen 🔁
↦ J. Tveita
39′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ J. Samuelsen
1–1 J. Thomassen
T. Heintz
48′
52′
E. Ruud 1–2
H. Singh 🔁
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
54′
71′
🔁 F. Nordkvelle
↦ M. Broberg
J. Tamm 🔁
↦ J. Horn
80′
89′
🔁 A. Nordvik
↦ B. Njie
Joonas Tamm 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
78 A. Vasyutin G
3 J. Horn D
77 A. Askar D
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
10 T. Heintz M
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
19 K. Larsen
23 H. Singh
6 J. Tamm
4 B. Utvik
18 M. Agger
27 R. Muhammed
31 A. Falch

Coach: G. Bakke

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
4 V. Bergan D
8 J. Samuelsen M
7 M. Broberg F
11 E. Rashani F
6 V. Hoff M
19 B. Njie F
16 Joshua Kitolano M
9 B. Risa F
Bench (7)
22 T. Børven
14 F. Nordkvelle
15 A. Nordvik
12 V. Myhra
13 S. Mladenovic
20 T. Lauritsen
24 A. Sødlund

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.