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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Stromsgodset
U U T T U
1–2
Full-time
Molde
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,2
4,3
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
23%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
59%
73%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
59%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 12. · Molde 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 15 4 3 +22 49
2 Brann 22 14 5 3 +14 47
3 Haugesund 22 11 5 6 +8 38
4 Molde 22 11 4 7 +16 37
5 Ranheim 22 10 5 7 -2 35
6 Odd 23 9 6 8 +6 33
7 Valerenga 23 9 6 8 -3 33
8 Sarpsborg 08 22 9 5 8 +8 32
9 Tromso 22 9 3 10 +2 30
10 Kristiansund 22 7 7 8 -3 28
11 Bodo/Glimt 22 6 9 7 +0 27
12 Stromsgodset 22 5 8 9 +0 23
13 Stabaek 22 4 8 10 -14 20
14 Start 22 5 5 12 -18 20
15 Lillestrom 22 4 7 11 -13 19
16 Sandefjord 22 2 7 13 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Molde
11′
E. Håland 0–1
E. Hussain
17′
E. Hestad 0–2
P. Cibicki
Martin Ovenstad 🟨
18′
1–2 T. Nguen
21′
Half-time 1–2
51′
🟨 Babacar Sarr
64′
🔁 F. Aursnes
↦ P. Cibicki
H. Stengel 🔁
↦ M. Ovenstad
72′
Francisco Júnior 🔁
↦ H. Hauger
73′
80′
🔁 S. Gregersen
↦ E. Håland
M. Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
82′
83′
🔁 M. Mostrøm
↦ M. Eikrem
Marcus Pedersen 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
18 M. Ovenstad M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
7 H. Stengel
19 Francisco Júnior
30 M. Abdellaoue
90 A. Pellegrino
17 C. Lindquist
20 P. Heigre
39 M. Sætra

Coach: T. Skullerud

Molde

4-3-3
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
24 P. Cibicki M
30 E. Håland F
Bench (6)
17 F. Aursnes
6 S. Gregersen
9 M. Mostrøm
2 I. Ssewankambo
26 M. Ranmark
37 E. Breivik

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.