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Eliteserien
Referee: Trond Ivar Dovle
Molde
U S T T U
3–2
Full-time
Kristiansund
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
48%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
71%
48%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 5. · Kristiansund 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 15 4 3 +22 49
2 Brann 22 14 5 3 +14 47
3 Haugesund 22 11 5 6 +8 38
4 Ranheim 22 10 5 7 -2 35
5 Molde 21 10 4 7 +15 34
6 Valerenga 22 9 6 7 -2 33
7 Sarpsborg 08 22 9 5 8 +8 32
8 Odd 22 8 6 8 +5 30
9 Tromso 22 9 3 10 +2 30
10 Kristiansund 21 7 7 7 -2 28
11 Bodo/Glimt 22 6 9 7 +0 27
12 Stromsgodset 22 5 8 9 +0 23
13 Stabaek 22 4 8 10 -14 20
14 Start 22 5 5 12 -18 20
15 Lillestrom 22 4 7 11 -13 19
16 Sandefjord 22 2 7 13 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Kristiansund
1–0 B. Sarr
M. Eikrem
12′
26′
F. Kastrati 1–1
B. Bye
Vegard Forren 🟨
39′
40′
🟨 Amidou Diop
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Sørli
↦ T. Gjertsen
2–1 B. Sarr
M. Eikrem
51′
3–1 M. Eikrem
R. Gabrielsen
56′
64′
🟨 Flamur Kastrati
71′
B. Bye 3–2
A. Diop
78′
🔁 S. Aasmundsen
↦ B. Sørmo
Christoffer Remmer 🟨
81′
F. Aursnes 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
84′
M. Mostrøm 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
85′
86′
🔁 S. Alexandersson
↦ A. Hopmark
I. Ssewankambo 🔁
↦ P. Cibicki
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Molde

4-3-3
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
24 P. Cibicki M
30 E. Håland F
Bench (7)
17 F. Aursnes
9 M. Mostrøm
2 I. Ssewankambo
43 S. Gussiås
37 E. Breivik
6 S. Gregersen
26 M. Ranmark

Coach: O. Solskjær

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 S. McDermott G
3 C. Aasbak D
4 C. Psyché D
19 A. Hopmark D
17 A. Coly D
9 L. Kalludra M
22 B. Sørmo D
21 A. Diop M
11 F. Kastrati F
13 B. Bye F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (7)
24 S. Sørli
18 S. Aasmundsen
20 S. Alexandersson
25 H. Gjesdal
15 E. Sivertsen
12 A. Vaikla
6 B. Lepistu

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trond Ivar Dovle · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.