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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Molde
T T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 61%
52%
70%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
74%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
25 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 4. · Rosenborg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 23 16 4 3 +24 52
2 Brann 23 14 6 3 +14 48
3 Haugesund 24 12 5 7 +8 41
4 Molde 23 12 4 7 +17 40
5 Ranheim 24 11 5 8 -2 38
6 Valerenga 24 10 6 8 -2 36
7 Odd 24 9 7 8 +6 34
8 Sarpsborg 08 24 9 5 10 +5 32
9 Kristiansund 24 8 7 9 -3 31
10 Tromso 23 9 3 11 +1 30
11 Bodo/Glimt 24 6 9 9 -2 27
12 Stromsgodset 24 6 8 10 +0 26
13 Lillestrom 24 6 7 11 -11 25
14 Stabaek 24 5 8 11 -14 23
15 Start 24 6 5 13 -18 23
16 Sandefjord 24 2 9 13 -23 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Rosenborg
27′
🟨 Alex Gersbach
Eirik Hestad 🟨
38′
1–0 V. Forren
M. Eikrem
40′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 M. Vilhjálmsson
↦ Y. de Lanlay
65′
🟨 Mike Jensen
68′
🔁 Đ. Denić
↦ M. Lundemo
P. Strand 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
77′
78′
🔁 E. Botheim
↦ A. Søderlund
M. Mostrøm 🔁
↦ P. Cibicki
88′
L. James 🔁
↦ E. Håland
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
24 P. Cibicki M
30 E. Håland F
Bench (7)
14 P. Strand
9 M. Mostrøm
10 L. James
2 I. Ssewankambo
6 S. Gregersen
26 M. Ranmark
27 D. Chima

Coach: O. Solskjær

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 E. Hovland D
2 V. Hedenstad D
20 A. Gersbach D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
25 M. Lundemo M
14 A. Søderlund F
27 I. Jebali F
11 Y. de Lanlay F
Bench (7)
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
5 Đ. Denić
34 E. Botheim
17 J. Levi
21 E. Reitan
24 A. Østbø
26 B. Šerbečić

Coach: R. Coolen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.