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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Jerv
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/24 matches
Win Ø 51%
68%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
77%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
55%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 3. · Jerv 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjondalen 24 14 7 3 +21 49
2 Viking 25 16 1 8 +19 49
3 Aalesund 22 15 3 4 +25 48
4 Sogndal 22 11 5 6 +12 38
5 Tromsdalen Uil 25 10 7 8 +0 37
6 Ull/Kisa 24 9 8 7 +9 35
7 Sandnes ULF 25 9 8 8 -3 35
8 Kongsvinger 24 10 4 10 +8 34
9 Jerv 24 8 8 8 -5 32
10 Ham-Kam 24 8 6 10 -1 30
11 Asane 25 8 6 11 -8 30
12 Nest-Sotra 23 8 5 10 -2 29
13 Notodden 24 7 5 12 -7 26
14 Strommen 24 8 1 15 -14 25
15 Floro 25 7 3 15 -27 24
16 Levanger 24 3 5 16 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Aug -18 Jerv – Aalesund 0–3

Match report

Aalesund Jerv
8′
M. Andersen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
58′
🔁 U. Berglann
↦ L. Ferreira
S. Sæthre 🔁
↦ Nenass
65′
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ T. Agdestein
70′
71′
🔁 P. Reinhardsen
↦ T. Zernichow
N. Tkalčić 🔁
↦ A. Arnarson
79′
1–1 H. Guèye
80′
84′
🔁 A. Khalili
↦ M. Andersen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
4 J. Grønner
6 K. Ramsteijn
22 A. Arnarson
3 D. Grétarsson
10 H. Fridjonsson
11 A. Þrándarson
7 Nenass
23 T. Agdestein
17 S. Fet
Bench (7)
15 S. Sæthre
14 H. Guèye
30 N. Tkalčić
13 T. Omenås
16 J. Hatlehol
21 J. Hauge
28 H. Breivik

Coach: L. Bohinen

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
2 G. Andersen
4 E. Knudsen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
6 M. Wichmann
23 A. Hagen
8 T. Zernichow
95 L. Ferreira
17 M. Andersen
29 S. Okoli
Bench (5)
7 U. Berglann
35 P. Reinhardsen
10 A. Khalili
1 M. Nordqvist
14 V. Somdal

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.