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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Molde
U S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
50%
61%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,1
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 3. · Rosenborg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 18 11 5 2 +23 38
2 Sarpsborg 08 18 9 6 3 +12 33
3 Molde 18 9 4 5 +10 31
4 Brann 18 7 7 4 +16 28
5 Sandefjord 19 8 3 8 -4 27
6 Haugesund 17 7 4 6 +2 25
7 Odd 17 7 4 6 -5 25
8 Stabaek 18 7 4 7 -6 25
9 Aalesund 18 6 5 7 +0 23
10 Lillestrom 18 6 5 7 -1 23
11 Valerenga 17 6 5 6 -1 23
12 Stromsgodset 18 5 7 6 -3 22
13 Sogndal 19 5 5 9 -8 20
14 Kristiansund 18 4 6 8 -9 18
15 Viking 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Tromso 17 3 5 9 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Rosenborg
1–0 F. Brustad
E. Hestad
5′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Mike Jensen
59′
🔁 M. Vilhjálmsson
↦ M. Jevtović
M. Ranmark 🔁
↦ A. Linde
62′
F. Aursnes 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
66′
73′
N. Bendtner 1–1
M. Jensen
T. Amang 🔁
↦ F. Brustad
75′
85′
A. Konradsen 1–2
M. Vilhjálmsson
Isak Ssewankambo 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 A. Gersbach
↦ Y. de Lanlay
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Molde

3-4-3
1 A. Linde G
29 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
2 I. Ssewankambo M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
6 S. Gregersen D
14 P. Strand M
10 B. Sigurðarson F
33 F. Brustad F
Bench (7)
26 M. Ranmark
17 F. Aursnes
20 T. Amang
30 E. Håland
11 M. Ellingsen
16 E. Hussain
5 J. Toivio

Coach: O. Solskjær

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
14 J. Bjørdal D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
21 F. Midtsjø M
9 N. Bendtner F
11 Y. de Lanlay F
26 M. Jevtović M
Bench (7)
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
20 A. Gersbach
17 J. Levi
5 J. Rasmussen
25 M. Lundemo
27 M. Bakenga
24 A. Østbø

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.