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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Kampka

Augsburg

S U T T U

4–1

Full-time

Freiburg

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 80%

100%

60%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

22 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 14. · Freiburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+14	14
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Hertha	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	RB Leipzig	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Wolfsburg	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Mainz	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+0	7
11	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Freiburg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Leverkusen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Stuttgart	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Schalke 04	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Hannover	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Werder Bremen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Dortmund	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Hertha	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	M'gladbach	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Mainz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Stuttgart	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Hannover	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Nurnberg	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.