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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Valerenga
U T S S S
2–3
Full-time
Rosenborg
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 55%
43%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
57%
48%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 6. · Rosenborg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 22 14 5 3 +14 47
2 Rosenborg 21 14 4 3 +21 46
3 Haugesund 22 11 5 6 +8 38
4 Ranheim 22 10 5 7 -2 35
5 Molde 21 10 4 7 +15 34
6 Valerenga 21 9 6 6 -1 33
7 Sarpsborg 08 22 9 5 8 +8 32
8 Odd 22 8 6 8 +5 30
9 Tromso 22 9 3 10 +2 30
10 Kristiansund 21 7 7 7 -2 28
11 Bodo/Glimt 22 6 9 7 +0 27
12 Stromsgodset 22 5 8 9 +0 23
13 Stabaek 22 4 8 10 -14 20
14 Start 22 5 5 12 -18 20
15 Lillestrom 22 4 7 11 -13 19
16 Sandefjord 22 2 7 13 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Rosenborg
1–0 S. Johnson
C. Ejuke
36′
45′
J. Levi 1–1
Half-time 2–1
50′
E. Jääger 2–1
own goal
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ E. Jääger
55′
3–1 A. Nouri
58′
72′
🟨 Birger Meling
73′
🔁 Y. de Lanlay
↦ J. Levi
S. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ M. Abu
74′
A. Dønnum 🔁
↦ B. Finne
82′
86′
🔁 M. Vilhjálmsson
↦ A. Søderlund
90′
🟨 Issam Jebali
95′
I. Jebali 3–2
A. Trondsen
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kwarasey G
3 E. Jääger D
33 A. Nouri D
25 S. Adekugbe D
5 F. Carvalho D
8 M. Lekven M
16 E. Israelsson M
14 M. Abu M
11 B. Finne M
10 S. Johnson F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (7)
23 F. Myhre
27 S. Friðjónsson
26 A. Dønnum
6 A. Ibrahim
13 K. Klaesson
20 S. Opsahl
29 M. Grødem

Coach: R. Deila

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 E. Hovland D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
15 A. Trondsen M
14 A. Søderlund F
27 I. Jebali F
17 J. Levi F
Bench (7)
11 Y. de Lanlay
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
5 Đ. Denić
21 E. Reitan
24 A. Østbø
25 M. Lundemo
26 B. Šerbečić

Coach: R. Coolen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.