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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Molde
S S S U T
1–3
Full-time
Rosenborg
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 61%
46%
75%
Points per game
1,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 6. · Rosenborg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 24 18 5 1 +38 59
2 Brann 24 12 5 7 +12 41
3 Odd 24 12 5 7 +8 41
4 Haugesund 24 11 7 6 +5 40
5 Sarpsborg 08 25 11 6 8 -2 39
6 Molde 24 11 5 8 +5 38
7 Viking 25 10 6 9 -3 36
8 Stromsgodset 24 10 5 9 +3 35
9 Sogndal 24 7 10 7 +0 31
10 Valerenga 24 8 6 10 +0 30
11 Tromso 24 8 6 10 -5 30
12 Bodo/Glimt 24 7 6 11 -5 27
13 Aalesund 24 7 5 12 -11 26
14 Stabaek 24 6 6 12 -6 24
15 Lillestrom 24 5 8 11 -7 23
16 Start 24 0 9 15 -32 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Rosenborg
26′
🔁 P. Helland
↦ E. Rashani
1–0 B. Sigurðarson
J. Gatt
31′
Half-time 1–1
50′
M. Jensen 1–1
J. Svensson
62′
C. Gytkjær 1–2
T. Amang 🔁
↦ J. Gatt
66′
66′
🔁 T. Reginiussen
↦ M. Bakenga
74′
🔁 M. Vilhjálmsson
↦ C. Gytkjær
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ M. Mostrøm
76′
Thomas Amang 🟨
81′
A. Diop 🔁
↦ B. Sigurðarson
82′
Eirik Hestad 🟨
86′
89′
M. Jensen 1–3
90′
🟨 Pål André Helland
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Molde

4-4-2
1 E. Horvath G
15 P. Flo D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
7 H. Singh M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
28 S. Gregersen D
10 B. Sigurðarson F
9 M. Mostrøm F
2 J. Gatt F
Bench (7)
20 T. Amang
52 T. Svendsen
3 A. Diop
14 P. Strand
17 F. Aursnes
23 K. Rindarøy
26 A. Linde

Coach: O. Solskjær

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
5 H. Eyjólfsson D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 J. Svensson D
20 A. Gersbach D
7 M. Jensen M
28 G. Thórarinsson M
21 F. Midtsjø M
9 C. Gytkjær F
27 M. Bakenga F
15 E. Rashani F
Bench (7)
23 P. Helland
4 T. Reginiussen
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
14 J. Bjørdal
18 M. Stamnestrø
24 A. Kwarasey
32 E. Reitan

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.