Eliteserien
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valerenga
Start
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 |
Brann
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | +14 | 48 |
| 3 |
Molde
|
23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 |
Haugesund
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 38 |
| 5 |
Ranheim
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 35 |
| 6 |
Odd
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 34 |
| 7 |
Valerenga
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +6 | 32 |
| 9 |
Kristiansund
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 |
Tromso
|
23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | +1 | 30 |
| 11 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 |
Stromsgodset
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 |
Stabaek
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 |
Start
|
23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 |
Lillestrom
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 |
Sandefjord
|
24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -23 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Nouri
D
B. Finne
M
C. Ejuke
F
Coach: R. Deila
E. Wichne
D
E. Segberg
M
T. Christensen
M
A. Aremu
M
Coach: K. Rekdal
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Odd
Valerenga
Valerenga
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Valerenga
Brann
Valerenga
Tromso
Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.