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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Valerenga
S S S T T
3–2
Full-time
Start
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
39%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
61%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
43%
48%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 7. · Start 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 23 16 4 3 +24 52
2 Brann 23 14 6 3 +14 48
3 Molde 23 12 4 7 +17 40
4 Haugesund 23 11 5 7 +7 38
5 Ranheim 23 10 5 8 -3 35
6 Odd 24 9 7 8 +6 34
7 Valerenga 23 9 6 8 -3 33
8 Sarpsborg 08 23 9 5 9 +6 32
9 Kristiansund 23 8 7 8 -2 31
10 Tromso 23 9 3 11 +1 30
11 Bodo/Glimt 23 6 9 8 -1 27
12 Stromsgodset 23 5 8 10 -1 23
13 Stabaek 23 5 8 10 -13 23
14 Start 23 6 5 12 -17 23
15 Lillestrom 23 5 7 11 -12 22
16 Sandefjord 24 2 9 13 -23 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Start
1–0 S. Johnson
B. Finne
25′
Mohammed Abu 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Johnson
B. Finne
57′
63′
🔁 H. Robstad
↦ S. Larsen
Erik Israelsson 🟨
65′
A. Dønnum 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
72′
72′
🔁 N. Sandberg
↦ T. Christensen
77′
🟨 Henrik Robstad
77′
🔁 M. Bringaker
↦ A. Akinyemi
M. Grødem 🔁
↦ E. Israelsson
80′
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ M. Abu
84′
Aron Donnum 🟨
88′
88′
M. Bringaker 2–1
3–1 B. Finne
S. Johnson
89′
91′
H. Shala 3–2
E. Käck
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kwarasey G
4 J. Nation D
33 A. Nouri D
25 S. Adekugbe D
5 F. Carvalho D
7 D. Holm M
16 E. Israelsson M
14 M. Abu M
11 B. Finne M
10 S. Johnson F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (7)
26 A. Dønnum
29 M. Grødem
23 F. Myhre
6 A. Ibrahim
8 M. Lekven
13 K. Klaesson
22 I. Näsberg

Coach: R. Deila

Start

3-4-3
26 J. Deumeland G
2 E. Käck D
6 S. Larsen D
3 E. Berger D
31 D. Lowe D
27 E. Wichne D
24 H. Shala F
23 E. Segberg M
10 T. Christensen M
4 A. Aremu M
77 A. Akinyemi F
Bench (7)
15 H. Robstad
21 N. Sandberg
20 M. Bringaker
8 I. Mensah
1 H. Opdal
5 A. Hadzic
18 I. Twum

Coach: K. Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.