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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello
Bologna
U T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Udinese
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
21 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 18. · Udinese 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 7 7 0 0 +11 21
2 Napoli 7 5 0 2 +3 15
3 Sassuolo 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Inter 7 4 1 2 +5 13
5 Lazio 7 4 0 3 +1 12
6 Roma 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Fiorentina 6 3 1 2 +7 10
8 Genoa 5 3 0 2 -1 9
9 Spal 6 3 0 3 -2 9
10 Sampdoria 6 2 2 2 +6 8
11 Udinese 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Parma 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 Atalanta 6 1 3 2 +1 6
14 Milan 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Torino 6 1 3 2 -2 6
16 Cagliari 7 1 3 3 -5 6
17 Empoli 6 1 2 3 -2 5
18 Bologna 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Chievo 6 0 2 4 -10 2
20 Frosinone 6 0 1 5 -16 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Udinese
32′
I. Pussetto 0–1
R. de Paul
1–1 F. Santander
M. Svanberg
42′
Half-time 1–1
Mattias Svanberg 🟨
47′
54′
🟨 Ignacio Pussetto
57′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ I. Pussetto
Ádám Nagy 🟨
58′
M. Dijks 🔁
↦ L. Krejčí
62′
64′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ K. Lasagna
69′
🟨 Rodrigo De Paul
72′
🟨 Valon Behrami
O. Okwonkwo 🔁
↦ D. Falcinelli
75′
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ M. Svanberg
79′
2–1 R. Orsolini
F. Mattiello
82′
84′
🔁 D. Machís
↦ V. Behrami
90′
🟨 Darwin Machís
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bologna

3-5-2
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
4 S. De Maio D
14 F. Mattiello M
33 A. Calabresi D
31 B. Džemaili M
11 L. Krejčí M
8 Á. Nagy M
32 M. Svanberg M
9 F. Santander F
91 D. Falcinelli F
Bench (11)
35 M. Dijks
30 O. Okwonkwo
7 R. Orsolini
1 Angelo da Costa
3 G. González
5 E. Pulgar
6 N. Paz
15 I. M'baye
19 J. Valencia
22 M. Destro
29 A. Santurro

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Udinese

4-1-4-1
22 S. Scuffet G
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
11 V. Behrami M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
23 I. Pussetto M
38 R. Mandragora M
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
77 M. D'Alessandro
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
16 D. Machís
1 J. Musso
2 M. Wagué
4 N. Opoku
7 G. Pezzella
9 Felipe Vizeu
18 H. ter Avest
21 S. Pontisso
72 A. Barák
88 Nicolas

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.