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Eredivisie

Referee: Christaan Bax

De Graafschap

T T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Willem II

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,3

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,3

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

24 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match De Graafschap 16. · Willem II 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+23	21
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+9	11
6	VVV Venlo	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Excelsior	7	2	3	2	-2	9
8	Willem II	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Heerenveen	7	1	4	2	-3	7
11	FC Emmen	7	2	1	4	-8	7
12	Vitesse	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	For Sittard	7	1	3	3	-4	6
14	Zwolle	6	2	0	4	-4	6
15	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Groningen	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	NAC Breda	7	1	0	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+5	5
6	Excelsior	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
8	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Zwolle	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	FC Emmen	4	2	0	2	-4	6
7	Vitesse	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Willem II	3	1	1	1	-4	4
15	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.