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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Heracles
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
5,0
3,2
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
5,0
3,2
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 4. · FC Emmen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 +23 21
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Heracles 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +9 11
6 VVV Venlo 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Excelsior 7 2 3 2 -2 9
8 Willem II 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Den Haag 7 2 2 3 -6 8
10 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -3 7
11 FC Emmen 6 2 1 3 -7 7
12 Vitesse 5 1 3 1 -2 6
13 For Sittard 7 1 3 3 -4 6
14 Zwolle 6 2 0 4 -4 6
15 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 -7 4
17 Groningen 5 1 0 4 -6 3
18 NAC Breda 7 1 0 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles FC Emmen
1–0 B. Kuwas
6′
2–0 K. Peterson
B. Kuwas
7′
40′
🟨 Anco Jansen
41′
🔁 J. Arias
↦ R. Niemeijer
Brandley Kuwas 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
Y. van Nieff 🔁
↦ A. Merkel
46′
Yoell Van Nieff 🟨
47′
V. Vermeij 🔁
↦ Adrián Dalmau
58′
68′
A. Jansen 2–1
D. dos Santos 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
75′
84′
🔁 T. Siekman
↦ L. Slagveer
86′
🟨 Tim Siekman
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
5 B. van Hintum D
23 M. Rossmann D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
8 L. Duarte M
52 A. Merkel M
14 Mohammed Osman M
7 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
9 Adrián Dalmau F
Bench (8)
10 Y. van Nieff
19 V. Vermeij
24 D. dos Santos
3 L. Czyborra
12 W. Droste
16 M. Brouwer
31 S. Sama
18 Jesper Drost

Coach: F. Wormuth

FC Emmen

4-4-2
12 K. Scherpen G
5 G. Klok D
22 C. Cavlan D
4 N. Bakker D
13 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl M
10 A. Bannink M
8 H. Ben Moussa M
11 R. Niemeijer M
6 A. Jansen F
17 L. Slagveer F
Bench (9)
25 J. Arias
3 T. Siekman
1 P. van der Vlag
2 S. Gronsveld
14 J. Bourdouxhe
15 E. Suliman
26 D. Telgenkamp
32 R. de Vos
27 D. Grootenhuis

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.