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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
AZ Alkmaar
S U T U S
2–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 0
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Zwolle 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 +23 21
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Heracles 7 5 1 1 +5 16
4 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +9 11
6 VVV Venlo 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Excelsior 7 2 3 2 -2 9
8 Willem II 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Den Haag 7 2 2 3 -6 8
10 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -3 7
11 FC Emmen 7 2 1 4 -8 7
12 Vitesse 5 1 3 1 -2 6
13 For Sittard 7 1 3 3 -4 6
14 Zwolle 6 2 0 4 -4 6
15 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 -7 4
17 Groningen 5 1 0 4 -6 3
18 NAC Breda 7 1 0 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Zwolle
1–0 O. Idrissi
T. Ouwejan
10′
18′
🟨 Kenneth Paal
36′
V. van Crooij 1–1
M. van Duinen
Half-time 1–1
M. Seuntjens 🔁
↦ B. Johnsen
57′
A. Maher 🔁
↦ R. Vlaar
57′
62′
🟨 Rick Dekker
64′
🔁 Z. Flemming
↦ D. Genreau
2–1 G. Til
76′
78′
🔁 S. Elbers
↦ Y. Namli
83′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ R. Dekker
Jonas Svensson 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Vito van Crooy
88′
Z. Flemming 2–2
M. van Duinen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-1-2
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
2 J. Svensson D
34 R. van Rhijn D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 G. Til M
28 A. Gudmundsson M
9 B. Johnsen F
11 O. Idrissi F
Bench (8)
20 M. Seuntjens
26 A. Maher
12 P. Hatzidiakos
14 D. Rotariu
15 O. Wijndal
22 P. Velthuizen
23 L. Bergsma
38 F. Druijf

Coach: J. van den Brom

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
20 K. Ehizibue D
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
17 D. Genreau M
6 G. Hamer M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (10)
14 Z. Flemming
25 S. Elbers
10 G. Scamacca
13 A. Tripaldelli
15 R. Ligeon
22 T. van den Belt
23 D. Bouzanis
29 D. Lachman
34 O. Bouy
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.