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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Belenenses
S T U U U
0–3
Full-time
Sp Braga
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,6
3,6
Scored
0,8
2,4
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 18
0 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Belenenses 12. · Sp Braga 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Benfica 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Sp Braga 5 4 1 0 +6 13
4 Sp Lisbon 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 Rio Ave 6 4 1 1 +4 13
6 Maritimo 6 3 1 2 -1 10
7 Santa Clara 6 2 2 2 +2 8
8 Feirense 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Guimaraes 6 2 1 3 -1 7
10 Chaves 6 2 1 3 -4 7
11 Moreirense 6 2 1 3 -5 7
12 Belenenses 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Tondela 6 1 2 3 -1 5
14 Vitoria Setubal 6 1 2 3 -2 5
15 Boavista 6 1 1 4 -4 4
16 Portimonense 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Nacional 6 1 1 4 -9 4
18 Aves 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Belenenses Sp Braga
Reinildo Isnard Mandava 🟨
10′
27′
Wilson Eduardo 0–1
Ricardo Horta
34′
Ricardo Horta 0–2
Dyego Sousa
Half-time 0–2
M. Ljujić 🔁
↦ Dálcio
46′
Henrique Almeida 🔁
↦ Licá
60′
64′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ Dyego Sousa
Muriel 🟨
68′
68′
Wilson Eduardo 0–3
Z. Bergdich 🔁
↦ Nuno Coelho
72′
73′
🔁 Eduardo
↦ Wilson Eduardo
Pierre Sagna 🟨
78′
83′
🔁 Fábio Martins
↦ Ricardo Horta
Matija Ljujic 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Belenenses

4-3-3
1 Muriel G
6 V. Sasso D
12 P. Sagna D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
67 Reinildo D
66 Nuno Coelho M
47 Jonatan M
8 Dálcio M
7 Licá F
16 Fredy F
50 A. Keita F
Bench (7)
11 M. Ljujić
17 Henrique Almeida
21 Z. Bergdich
25 Nuno Tomás
26 André Santos
39 Mika
98 Kikas

Coach: Silas

Sp Braga

4-4-2
12 Tiago Sá G
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
87 Marcelo Goiano D
5 Sequeira D
14 Pablo D
36 Bruno Vianna D
25 Claudemir M
17 João Novais M
21 Ricardo Horta M
7 Wilson Eduardo F
99 Dyego Sousa F
Bench (7)
20 Paulinho
11 Eduardo
26 Fábio Martins
4 Lucas Cunha
27 Fransérgio
28 Marafona
60 João Palhinha

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.