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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Levante
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Alaves
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 19
7 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 19. · Alaves 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 4 2 1 +10 14
2 Real Madrid 7 4 2 1 +6 14
3 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 +9 13
4 Ath Madrid 7 3 3 1 +4 12
5 Alaves 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Espanol 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Celta 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Valladolid 7 2 3 2 +0 9
9 Betis 6 2 3 1 -1 9
10 Girona 7 2 3 2 -2 9
11 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 +1 8
12 Getafe 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Sociedad 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Valencia 7 1 5 1 -1 8
15 Ath Bilbao 6 1 4 1 -2 7
16 Eibar 7 2 1 4 -4 7
17 Vallecano 6 1 2 3 -7 5
18 Huesca 7 1 2 4 -10 5
19 Levante 6 1 1 4 -4 4
20 Leganes 6 1 1 4 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Alaves
5′
Rubén Sobrino 0–1
Ibai Gómez
1–1 Jason
Rubén Rochina
19′
2–1 Toño
36′
Jason 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Ximo Navarro
↦ Rubén Duarte
59′
🔁 Jony
↦ Burgui
M. Simon 🔁
↦ Jason
60′
66′
🔁 J. Calleri
↦ J. Guidetti
Chema 🔁
↦ E. Cabaco
72′
Sanjin Prcić 🟨
73′
Ruben Rochina 🟨
80′
C. Doukouré 🔁
↦ Rubén Rochina
83′
José Luis Morales 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Rubén Sobrino
José Campaña 🟨
90′
Toño 🟨
90′
Chema 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Levante

3-5-2
13 Oier G
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño M
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
8 S. Prcić M
11 José Luis Morales M
23 Jason M
21 E. Boateng F
Bench (7)
7 M. Simon
6 Chema
5 C. Doukouré
2 Borja Mayoral
9 Roger Martí
19 Pedro López
25 Aitor Fernández

Coach: Paco López

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
21 Martín D
19 Manu García M
8 Tomás Pina M
11 Ibai Gómez M
14 Burgui M
10 J. Guidetti F
7 Rubén Sobrino F
Bench (7)
15 Ximo Navarro
23 Jony
12 J. Calleri
2 Carlos Vigaray
13 Antonio Sivera
20 D. Brašanac
22 M. Wakaso

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.