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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Lillestrom

U S T T S

3–2

Full-time

Stabaek

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

65%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 15. · Stabaek 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	23	16	4	3	+24	52
2	Brann	23	14	6	3	+14	48
3	Molde	23	12	4	7	+17	40
4	Haugesund	23	11	5	7	+7	38
5	Ranheim	23	10	5	8	-3	35
6	Odd	24	9	7	8	+6	34
7	Valerenga	23	9	6	8	-3	33
8	Sarpsborg 08	23	9	5	9	+6	32
9	Kristiansund	23	8	7	8	-2	31
10	Tromso	23	9	3	11	+1	30
11	Bodo/Glimt	23	6	9	8	-1	27
12	Stromsgodset	23	5	8	10	-1	23
13	Stabaek	23	5	8	10	-13	23
14	Start	23	6	5	12	-17	23
15	Lillestrom	23	5	7	11	-12	22
16	Sandefjord	24	2	9	13	-23	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	12	9	0	3	+20	27
2	Rosenborg	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	Brann	11	7	3	1	+11	24
4	Odd	12	6	3	3	+11	21
5	Ranheim	11	6	3	2	+8	21
6	Sarpsborg 08	12	6	2	4	+11	20
7	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+11	20
8	Haugesund	11	6	2	3	+4	20
9	Valerenga	11	5	4	2	+4	19
10	Stabaek	11	5	4	2	+3	19
11	Kristiansund	12	5	4	3	+3	19
12	Start	12	5	2	5	-1	17
13	Bodo/Glimt	12	4	4	4	+5	16
14	Stromsgodset	12	4	3	5	+6	15
15	Lillestrom	11	3	6	2	+1	15
16	Sandefjord	12	1	4	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	8	1	2	+8	25
2	Brann	12	7	3	2	+3	24
3	Haugesund	12	5	3	4	+3	18
4	Valerenga	12	4	2	6	-7	14
5	Ranheim	12	4	2	6	-11	14
6	Molde	11	3	4	4	-3	13
7	Odd	12	3	4	5	-5	13
8	Kristiansund	11	3	3	5	-5	12
9	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	3	5	-5	12
10	Bodo/Glimt	11	2	5	4	-6	11
11	Tromso	12	3	1	8	-10	10
12	Stromsgodset	11	1	5	5	-7	8
13	Sandefjord	12	1	5	6	-15	8
14	Lillestrom	12	2	1	9	-13	7
15	Start	11	1	3	7	-16	6
16	Stabaek	12	0	4	8	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.