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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Lillestrom

T U T U S

0–1

Full-time

Valerenga

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

55%

60%

Both score Ø 53%

65%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 5

6 Offside 6

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 13. · Valerenga 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	21	14	4	3	+21	46
2	Brann	21	13	5	3	+12	44
3	Haugesund	21	11	5	5	+10	38
4	Molde	21	10	4	7	+15	34
5	Ranheim	21	10	4	7	-2	34
6	Sarpsborg 08	21	9	5	7	+9	32
7	Valerenga	20	8	6	6	-2	30
8	Tromso	21	9	2	10	+2	29
9	Kristiansund	21	7	7	7	-2	28
10	Odd	21	7	6	8	+4	27
11	Bodo/Glimt	21	6	8	7	+0	26
12	Stromsgodset	21	5	7	9	+0	22
13	Lillestrom	20	4	7	9	-9	19
14	Stabaek	21	4	7	10	-14	19
15	Start	21	4	5	12	-21	17
16	Sandefjord	21	2	6	13	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	11	8	0	3	+19	24
2	Rosenborg	11	7	3	1	+14	24
3	Brann	10	7	2	1	+11	23
4	Sarpsborg 08	11	6	2	3	+12	20
5	Ranheim	10	6	2	2	+8	20
6	Haugesund	10	6	2	2	+6	20
7	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+11	19
8	Valerenga	10	5	4	1	+5	19
9	Odd	11	5	3	3	+10	18
10	Bodo/Glimt	11	4	4	3	+6	16
11	Stabaek	10	4	4	2	+2	16
12	Kristiansund	11	4	4	3	+2	16
13	Stromsgodset	11	4	3	4	+7	15
14	Start	11	4	2	5	-4	14
15	Lillestrom	9	2	6	1	+1	12
16	Sandefjord	10	1	2	7	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	7	1	2	+7	22
2	Brann	11	6	3	2	+1	21
3	Haugesund	11	5	3	3	+4	18
4	Ranheim	11	4	2	5	-10	14
5	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	3	4	-3	12
6	Kristiansund	10	3	3	4	-4	12
7	Valerenga	10	3	2	5	-7	11
8	Molde	10	2	4	4	-4	10
9	Bodo/Glimt	10	2	4	4	-6	10
10	Tromso	11	3	1	7	-9	10
11	Odd	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Stromsgodset	10	1	4	5	-7	7
13	Lillestrom	11	2	1	8	-10	7
14	Sandefjord	11	1	4	6	-15	7
15	Stabaek	11	0	3	8	-16	3
16	Start	10	0	3	7	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.