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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Lillestrom
S S T S U
2–2
Full-time
Stabaek
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,2
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Stabaek 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 10 5 2 +20 35
2 Brann 16 7 6 3 +17 27
3 Sarpsborg 08 16 7 6 3 +10 27
4 Molde 16 8 3 5 +9 27
5 Stabaek 16 7 3 6 -4 24
6 Aalesund 16 6 4 6 +2 22
7 Valerenga 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Haugesund 15 6 4 5 +1 22
9 Odd 15 6 4 5 -4 22
10 Lillestrom 16 6 3 7 -1 21
11 Sogndal 17 5 5 7 -6 20
12 Stromsgodset 16 4 6 6 -5 18
13 Sandefjord 16 5 3 8 -10 18
14 Kristiansund 16 4 5 7 -6 17
15 Tromso 15 3 5 7 -11 14
16 Viking 16 2 4 10 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stabaek
19′
🟨 Jeppe Moe
36′
T. Brochmann 0–1
T. Lumanza
38′
🟨 Hugo Vetlesen
40′
O. Omoijuanfo 0–2
T. Lumanza
Half-time 0–2
51′
🟨 Morten Skjonsberg
57′
🔁 A. Nimely
↦ T. Lumanza
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ B. Ajeti
58′
Erling Knudtzon 🟨
61′
T. Malec 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
72′
72′
🔁 D. Granli
↦ R. Gyasi
1–2 S. Mikalsen
81′
2–2 E. Brenden
T. Malec
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
22 S. Antonijevic D
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
18 B. Innocent M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
9 B. Ajeti F
Bench (7)
15 E. Brenden
7 T. Malec
16 T. Gran
24 E. Sandberg
27 M. Škoda
28 H. Kristiansen
29 E. Ødegaard

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sayouba G
6 H. Skogseid D
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
67 T. Lumanza M
28 L. Kassi M
25 H. Vetlesen M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
7 R. Gyasi M
Bench (7)
20 A. Nimely
21 D. Granli
9 S. Mauritz-Hansen
22 G. Singh
30 O. Brynhildsen
45 M. Olsen
79 S. Pedersen

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.