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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Start
T U U T U
3–0
Full-time
Lillestrom
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
38%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Start 15. · Lillestrom 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 22 14 5 3 +14 47
2 Rosenborg 21 14 4 3 +21 46
3 Haugesund 22 11 5 6 +8 38
4 Molde 21 10 4 7 +15 34
5 Ranheim 21 10 4 7 -2 34
6 Valerenga 21 9 6 6 -1 33
7 Sarpsborg 08 21 9 5 7 +9 32
8 Tromso 21 9 2 10 +2 29
9 Kristiansund 21 7 7 7 -2 28
10 Odd 21 7 6 8 +4 27
11 Bodo/Glimt 21 6 8 7 +0 26
12 Stromsgodset 21 5 7 9 +0 22
13 Lillestrom 21 4 7 10 -10 19
14 Stabaek 21 4 7 10 -14 19
15 Start 21 4 5 12 -21 17
16 Sandefjord 21 2 6 13 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Lillestrom
1–0 A. Akinyemi
A. Aremu
5′
Damion Lowe 🟨
14′
19′
🟥 Marius Amundsen
2–0 K. Kabran
20′
22′
🔁 S. Rafn
↦ A. Melgalvis
34′
🔁 F. Krogstad
↦ E. Knudtzon
45′
🟨 Arnor Smarason
Half-time 2–0
T. Christensen 🔁
↦ K. Kabran
46′
M. Bringaker 🔁
↦ A. Akinyemi
75′
3–0 M. Bringaker
N. Sandberg
78′
81′
🔁 K. Ødemarksbakken
↦ A. Smárason
I. Mensah 🔁
↦ A. Aremu
82′
86′
🟨 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
87′
🟨 Daniel Alexander Pedersen
Tobias Christensen 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Start

3-4-2-1
26 J. Deumeland G
6 S. Larsen D
3 E. Berger D
31 D. Lowe D
27 E. Wichne D
24 H. Shala F
21 N. Sandberg M
23 E. Segberg M
4 A. Aremu M
7 K. Kabran F
77 A. Akinyemi F
Bench (7)
10 T. Christensen
20 M. Bringaker
8 I. Mensah
1 H. Opdal
5 A. Hadzic
11 A. Sigurdarson
15 H. Robstad

Coach: K. Rekdal

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 M. Marić G
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
22 S. Antonijevic D
88 A. Smárason F
23 D. Pedersen M
15 E. Brenden M
33 A. Melgalvis M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (7)
5 S. Rafn
14 F. Krogstad
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
12 R. Ayagwa
9 G. Martin
25 M. Igonen
26 L. Ranger

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.