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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Lillestrom
S T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Stabaek
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
57%
Both score Ø 65%
79%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
8 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Stabaek 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 15 11 3 1 +21 36
2 Odd 14 9 3 2 +9 30
3 Stromsgodset 15 9 2 4 +10 29
4 Brann 15 8 2 5 +3 26
5 Viking 15 8 2 5 +2 26
6 Haugesund 15 7 4 4 +6 25
7 Molde 15 7 3 5 +3 24
8 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 4 5 -3 22
9 Sogndal 15 5 6 4 +1 21
10 Lillestrom 14 4 5 5 +1 17
11 Tromso 15 4 5 6 -7 17
12 Bodo/Glimt 15 4 3 8 -3 15
13 Aalesund 14 3 3 8 -5 12
14 Valerenga 15 3 2 10 -9 11
15 Stabaek 14 3 1 10 -8 10
16 Start 15 0 6 9 -21 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stabaek
37′
M. Njie 0–1
C. Grossman
Half-time 0–1
Frode Kippe 🟨
57′
61′
🟨 Birger Meling
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
73′
74′
🔁 A. Mehmeti
↦ O. Omoijuanfo
J. Kolstad 🔁
↦ B. Innocent
81′
83′
🔁 D. Granli
↦ G. Gorozia
1–1 J. Kolstad
H. Skogseid
88′
89′
A. Mehmeti 1–2
92′
🔁 A. Hanche-Olsen
↦ E. Asante
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

41 P. Heigre G
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
11 E. Knudtzon F
23 F. Friday F
Bench (7)
15 E. Brenden
17 J. Kolstad
22 M. Jakobsen
26 S. Sinyan
2 M. Falkeborn
29 E. Ødegaard
5 O. Rindarøy

Stabaek

1 M. Sayouba G
3 M. Skjønsberg D
4 N. Næss D
25 B. Meling D
18 J. Moe D
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
20 K. Issah M
8 C. Grossman M
9 G. Gorozia
11 M. Njie M
7 E. Asante F
Bench (7)
10 A. Mehmeti
21 D. Granli
16 A. Hanche-Olsen
23 E. Bohinen
13 E. Haugstad
19 S. Eghan
24 S. Kjellevold

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.