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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Stabaek

S U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 24%

28%

20%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

52%

64%

Both score Ø 64%

52%

76%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Lillestrom 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	25	19	5	1	+40	62
2	Brann	25	13	5	7	+13	44
3	Odd	25	12	6	7	+8	42
4	Haugesund	25	11	7	7	+4	40
5	Sarpsborg 08	25	11	6	8	-2	39
6	Molde	25	11	5	9	+3	38
7	Stromsgodset	26	10	6	10	+1	36
8	Viking	25	10	6	9	-3	36
9	Sogndal	25	8	10	7	+1	34
10	Valerenga	25	8	6	11	-1	30
11	Bodo/Glimt	26	8	6	12	-4	30
12	Tromso	25	8	6	11	-6	30
13	Aalesund	25	8	5	12	-10	29
14	Stabaek	25	7	6	12	-5	27
15	Lillestrom	25	5	8	12	-8	23
16	Start	25	1	9	15	-31	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	12	12	0	0	+29	36
2	Brann	12	9	3	0	+17	30
3	Stromsgodset	13	8	4	1	+13	28
4	Haugesund	12	7	4	1	+12	25
5	Molde	13	7	3	3	+10	24
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	7	3	3	+8	24
7	Odd	13	6	3	4	+5	21
8	Valerenga	13	5	3	5	+6	18
9	Sogndal	12	4	6	2	+4	18
10	Tromso	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Bodo/Glimt	14	5	3	6	-1	18
12	Aalesund	12	4	4	4	+4	16
13	Viking	12	4	4	4	+0	16
14	Lillestrom	13	4	3	6	+1	15
15	Stabaek	12	4	1	7	-4	13
16	Start	13	1	4	8	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	13	7	5	1	+11	26
2	Odd	12	6	3	3	+3	21
3	Viking	13	6	2	5	-3	20
4	Sogndal	13	4	4	5	-3	16
5	Haugesund	13	4	3	6	-8	15
6	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	3	5	-10	15
7	Stabaek	13	3	5	5	-1	14
8	Brann	13	4	2	7	-4	14
9	Molde	12	4	2	6	-7	14
10	Aalesund	13	4	1	8	-14	13
11	Bodo/Glimt	12	3	3	6	-3	12
12	Valerenga	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Tromso	13	3	3	7	-9	12
14	Lillestrom	12	1	5	6	-9	8
15	Stromsgodset	13	2	2	9	-12	8
16	Start	12	0	5	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.