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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Stabaek
T U U T U
3–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
8 Offside 7
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Lillestrom 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 7 6 1 0 +10 19
2 Rosenborg 7 4 2 1 +7 14
3 Molde 7 4 1 2 +3 13
4 Haugesund 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Ranheim 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Tromso 7 3 2 2 +5 11
7 Valerenga 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Odd 7 3 1 3 -1 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Stromsgodset 7 2 2 3 +2 8
11 Kristiansund 7 1 4 2 -1 7
12 Bodo/Glimt 7 1 2 4 -5 5
13 Sandefjord 7 1 2 4 -7 5
14 Lillestrom 6 1 1 4 -4 4
15 Stabaek 6 0 4 2 -6 4
16 Start 7 1 1 5 -9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Jul -17 Lillestrom – Stabaek 2–2 3. Jun -17 Stabaek – Lillestrom 2–4 1. Oct -16 Stabaek – Lillestrom 1–2 10. Jul -16 Lillestrom – Stabaek 1–2 16. Aug -15 Stabaek – Lillestrom 3–2

Match report

Stabaek Lillestrom
22′
⚽ I. Matthew 0–1
E. Knudtzon
1–1 O. Brynhildsen ⚽
J. Sæter
40′
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 O. Omoijuanfo ⚽
F. Boli
50′
57′
🔁 A. Melgalvis
↦ F. Krogstad
3–1 O. Brynhildsen ⚽
T. Brochmann
58′
64′
🔁 G. Martin
↦ T. Olsen
66′
⚽ G. Martin 3–2
A. Melgalvis
T. Børkeeiet 🔁
↦ T. Brochmann
76′
77′
🔁 E. Brenden
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
D. Granli 🔁
↦ F. Boli
87′
Hugo Vetlesen 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
30 M. Sayouba G
4 V. Demidov D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
2 R. Hernández D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
8 J. Sæter M
25 H. Vetlesen M
20 O. Brynhildsen M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
10 F. Boli F
Bench (6)
42 T. Børkeeiet
21 D. Granli
5 S. Strømnes
27 N. Jenssen
23 E. Bohinen
1 S. Kjellevold

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Lillestrom

4-3-3
25 M. Igonen G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
5 S. Rafn D
17 K. Ødemarksbakken M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
8 C. Ezeh M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
33 A. Melgalvis
9 G. Martin
15 E. Brenden
1 M. Marić
7 M. Ebiye
16 T. Gran
24 E. Sandberg

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.