Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jerv
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | +40 | 76 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | +25 | 65 |
| 3 |
Start
|
29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | +21 | 59 |
| 4 |
Nest-Sotra
|
29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |
KFUM Oslo
|
29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +15 | 45 |
| 6 |
Sogndal
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | +0 | 43 |
| 8 |
Sandnes ULF
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | +0 | 38 |
| 9 |
Raufoss
|
29 | 12 | 2 | 15 | -11 | 38 |
| 10 |
Ull/Kisa
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Ham-Kam
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -18 | 33 |
| 13 |
Strommen
|
29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 |
Notodden
|
29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 |
Skeid
|
29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | -41 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sandefjord
Jerv
Jerv
Nest-Sotra
Sogndal
Jerv
Jerv
Start
Notodden
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.