Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jerv
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjondalen
|
27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | +25 | 52 |
| 3 |
Viking
|
27 | 17 | 1 | 9 | +19 | 52 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +13 | 44 |
| 5 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 40 |
| 6 |
Sandnes ULF
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +11 | 38 |
| 8 |
Ull/Kisa
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 9 |
Ham-Kam
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +0 | 36 |
| 10 |
Jerv
|
27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 |
Nest-Sotra
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 |
Strommen
|
27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -14 | 30 |
| 14 |
Notodden
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 |
Floro
|
27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | -28 | 27 |
| 16 |
Levanger
|
27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -31 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ø. Øvretveit
B. Wembangomo
K. Tønnessen
P. Reinhardsen
Coach: A. Sandstø
F. Pålerud
F. Sjølstad
N. Castro
Coach: M. Dempsey
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mjondalen
Jerv
Jerv
Levanger
Aalesund
Jerv
Jerv
Strommen
Asane
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.