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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Napoli

U S U U T

0–0

Full-time

Genoa

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,7

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

45%

18%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

55%

91%

Both score Ø 73%

64%

82%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,4

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 7. · Genoa 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	12	10	1	1	+14	31
2	Juventus	11	9	2	0	+10	29
3	Roma	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+13	21
5	Atalanta	11	6	3	2	+12	21
6	Cagliari	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Napoli	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Fiorentina	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Verona	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Parma	11	4	2	5	+1	14
11	Torino	12	4	2	6	-2	14
12	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	+0	13
13	Milan	11	4	1	6	-4	13
14	Udinese	11	4	1	6	-10	13
15	Bologna	12	3	3	6	-4	12
16	Lecce	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-12	8
18	Sampdoria	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Brescia	11	2	1	8	-10	7
20	Spal	11	2	1	8	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Inter	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Roma	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Napoli	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	+3	9
8	Parma	6	3	0	3	+2	9
9	Udinese	6	3	0	3	-4	9
10	Verona	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Fiorentina	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+5	7
14	Bologna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Genoa	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Spal	6	2	1	3	-2	7
17	Milan	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	-4	5
19	Lecce	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Brescia	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Atalanta	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+4	14
4	Roma	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Cagliari	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Lazio	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Lecce	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Verona	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Milan	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Torino	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Brescia	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Parma	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Sampdoria	6	1	0	5	-8	3
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-11	1
20	Spal	5	0	0	5	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.