Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Burnley
West Ham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 31 |
| 2 |
Chelsea
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |
Man City
|
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +24 | 25 |
| 4 |
Leicester
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 23 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 |
Sheffield United
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |
Bournemouth
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 |
Brighton
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 15 |
| 9 |
Crystal Palace
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 15 |
| 10 |
Man United
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Tottenham
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |
Wolves
|
11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +0 | 13 |
| 13 |
West Ham
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |
Burnley
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Newcastle
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 |
Everton
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 |
Watford
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -15 | 8 |
| 19 |
Southampton
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield United
Burnley
Burnley
Chelsea
Leicester
Burnley
Burnley
Everton
Aston Villa
Burnley
Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.