Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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KFUM Oslo
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +39 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |
Start
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +20 | 56 |
| 4 |
Nest-Sotra
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +13 | 45 |
| 5 |
KFUM Oslo
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 |
Sogndal
|
27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | +0 | 40 |
| 8 |
Raufoss
|
27 | 12 | 1 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 9 |
Ull/Kisa
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Ham-Kam
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 |
Jerv
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 |
Sandnes ULF
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 |
Strommen
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 |
Notodden
|
27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 |
Skeid
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -16 | 18 |
| 16 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
27 | 2 | 3 | 22 | -44 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Rasch
T. Sørås
L. Larsen
Coach: J. Isnes
F. Pålerud
M. Vinjor
Coach: Vítor Gazimba
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Tromsdalen Uil
Raufoss
KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.