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Ligue 2

Guingamp

S S U T S

1–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

38%

54%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

54%

31%

Both score Ø 43%

54%

31%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

16 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

8 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 8. · Ajaccio 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	14	8	3	3	+10	27
2	Troyes	14	8	2	4	+6	26
3	Sochaux	14	7	4	3	+11	25
4	Lens	13	7	4	2	+7	25
5	Ajaccio	13	7	4	2	+7	25
6	Clermont	14	6	3	5	+0	21
7	Grenoble	14	4	8	2	+2	20
8	Guingamp	13	5	4	4	+6	19
9	Le Havre	14	4	7	3	+3	19
10	Nancy	14	3	10	1	+2	19
11	Rodez	13	5	3	5	+1	18
12	Auxerre	14	4	5	5	+3	17
13	Valenciennes	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Caen	14	3	6	5	-4	15
15	Niort	14	3	5	6	-5	14
16	Chateauroux	14	3	5	6	-7	14
17	Le Mans	14	4	1	9	-10	13
18	Chambly	14	3	4	7	-10	13
19	Paris FC	14	3	3	8	-11	12
20	Orleans	14	1	6	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Nancy	8	3	5	0	+5	14
3	Rodez	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Lorient	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Lens	6	4	1	1	+3	13
6	Ajaccio	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Troyes	7	4	0	3	+2	12
8	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+5	11
9	Auxerre	7	3	2	2	+4	11
10	Le Mans	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Valenciennes	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Le Havre	6	1	4	1	+1	7
13	Grenoble	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Clermont	7	1	3	3	-1	6
15	Niort	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Caen	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Chambly	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Chateauroux	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Paris FC	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Orleans	7	0	2	5	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Clermont	7	5	0	2	+1	15
2	Lorient	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Troyes	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Ajaccio	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Grenoble	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Lens	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Le Havre	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Caen	7	2	3	2	+1	9
9	Chateauroux	8	2	3	3	-5	9
10	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Sochaux	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Valenciennes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Niort	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Paris FC	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Orleans	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Chambly	6	2	1	3	-2	7
17	Auxerre	7	1	3	3	-1	6
18	Nancy	6	0	5	1	-3	5
19	Rodez	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Le Mans	6	1	0	5	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.